YOUR  EXCLUSIVE 645AM SNN OBZ THURSDAY SEPT 9th

LITE/MODERATE 5-15+ ENE TRADES>NEXT WEEK; NORTHSHORE: SAME, 0-1/2; MAKAHA:HOLDS,SMOOTH FLAT. TOWN: HOLDS,CLEAN SSW 0-1.5'. DH: HOLDS SSW+SSE 1 BARELY 2'. SANDYS: HOLDS,SIDE-OFFSHORE S+WIND WRAP 1-2'. MAKAPU'U: HOLDS,LITE ONSHORE WINDSWELL 0-1 OCC 2'

BIG PICTURE for Thursday KEY NOTES: groundhog days:  the smallest days overall all year with flat-1/2' for N+W and mostly less than 2' for S+E.  NPAC:  country's flat-1/2;  with buoys 11 seconds from NW we spoke of; this is all we're getting. Energy from the High pressure to our NE 9/5 pushes out some 2' 9 second, ENE windswell from late thursday for several days; only isolated NS reefs will pick it up out by Kahuku. The jet  drops and consolidates this weekend leading to greater potential for NW swells. We are starting to see more regular but weak Lows coming down from  Russia and tracking back up  the bering sea. Even a small low pops Friday off Japan and tracks our way;  Still, models have backed off with  little chance of 2' NW around middle of month. SPAC:  No change is forecast. Sept. 2-4 showed some long fetch in the Taz Sea with gales as she moved right over New Zealand;  her gales move off to the east coast 9/4-5; we should see max chest high Taz swell and some possible head high 15 second SSW swell Friday evening 9/10 through the weekend;  Friday-Tues. 9/3-7th a good storm force storm off southern Chile tracks ESE away from us thus limiting fetch/sea growth potential. ETA for a long lasting 2.5' 13 second SSE swell is about the same time frame as the SSW. Hopefully the combo of SW/SSW/SSE will create some higher sets. Windwaves also add to the mix from the HIgh off Chile earlier this week but only background. LAST: 9/7-12, 2  storms one after another come from down SE of New Zealand by the Ross Iceshelf; the 1st one takes a more zonal or west to east track limiting the fetch on its west flank. But the 2nd Low which pops 7/9 starts bending NE and merges with/replaces the 1st storm and packs some 40' seas and generates some 18-20 seconds. Most of it goes to the west coast (they get big ones by 9/16-18 for Trestles) but we'll still see a portion from angular spreading of swell trains. If all goes well these forerunners will be felt later on Tuesday 9/14 and the South swell will peak at least 3' from the S to SSE Wednesday-Thursday ('hopefully' 2-4' due to long periods refracting more off the ocean floor). This is welcome news for those who gave up on Summer. LONG LONG RANGE: A huge storm comes up into the TAZ Sea the middle of the month; any event locally will be about 2 weeks out and have greater error bars in size.  EAST SWELLS: Surf holds 1-2' thnks to easing lite/moderate upstream winds + local trades from the distant  High pressures; NE swells purk up alittle later this week but nothing much over 2'. Wind swell continue ranging from 2' and 3' sets pending minor variations in trades.  TROPICS:  No other swell producing storms from this region are expected out 7 days. .

SNN SISTER FOR FAST BACK UP: PURPLETIDE.COM
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BUOY LINKS
51000 NORTHERN HAWAII
51101 NW HONOLULU
51202 KAILUA
KILO NALU
LANAI http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=51203
51002 SW HAWAII 215 NM SSW of Hilo
51003  W HAWAII 205 NM Southwest of Honolulu
51004 SE HAWAII 185 NM Southeast of Hilo 

CURRENT MEN'S RATINGS...HERE
CURRENT WOMEN'S RATINGS...HERE

GOOD SITES:
www.savethewaves.org
http://www.tsunami.org/faq.html
http://sustainhawaii.org/cbsm
surfingthenations.com/
www.defendoahucoalition.org
www.accesssurfhawaii.org
www.iyor.org/ (International Year of the Reef 2008)
www.surfrider.org/oahu
www.aspworldtour.com/2007/criteria.asp
http://www.riseaboveplastics.com
http://hawaii.gov/health/environmental/water/cleanwater/WaterQualityData/index.html

JOKERS    9.9.10

 ...This summer went by faster than Lindsay Lohan’s rehabThis summer went by faster than Lindsay Lohan’s rehab