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Cholos KARAOKE

6am OBS, Monday, July 7th

Partly cloudy skies with a couple of windward and mauka showers. Fresh E-ENE trades early filling to fresh to strong paces towards mid-morning. Small Craft Advisory for all Hawaiian waters. Wind Advisory for portions of Molokai-Big Island.

Big Picture updated 7/6. Small-fun SSW overlapping small SSE. Above average ENE trade wind swell. Call 596-SURF: 7a, Noon, 4pm (recap-forecast).

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North Shore:

Up & Rising trade wind swell wrap. Semi-clean conditions with a touch of texture thanks to breezy offshores. Sunset 0-1'; Rocky Pt 0-1'; Pipe 0-1'; Chuns 0-1/2'; Laniakea 1-1.5'; Ali'i Beach Park flat. Broken clouds.
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West:

Up & Holding 16 sec SSW. Surf's clean due to moderate to fresh offshores all day. Makaha is 1-occ. 2' and breaking inside the reef. Mostly clear skies.
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Town:

Up & Holding 16 sec SSW + Dropping 13 sec SSE. Mostly clean with a slight side-offshore texture from the fresh trades. Waikiki reefs are 1-occ. 2'; Kaisers-Rockpiles to Ala Moana to Kewalos are 1-2' occ. +. Partly cloudy skies.
Photo courtesy of Eric Tessmer

Diamond Head:

Up & Holding 16 sec SSW + Dropping 13 sec SSE + Up & Rising trade wind swell wrap. Very textured and shredded from fresh-paced sideshore trades. Surf's 1-2' occ. 3' at takeoff on the combo peaks. Scattered clouds.
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Sandy's:

Up & Holding 16 sec SSW + Dropping 13 sec SSE + Up & Rising ENE trade wind swell wrap. Ruffled and torn up over the exposed reefs due to very breezy sideshore trades. Full Pt/Half Pt are 1-3'. Shorebreak is also 1-3' but more manageable. Scattered clouds.
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East Makapu'u:

Up & Rising 8 sec ENE trade wind swell. Rough, lumpy and bumpy conditions due to fresh to strong onshore trades. Surf's 2-3' and breaking on the outside left and middle and washing into the left side of the bay. Keikis is smaller at 1-3'. Watch for 3'+ sets this afternoon. Partly cloudy skies.
HSFF 2025 728X90

Winds

Monday
Range:
15-30mph ENE to E

Tuesday
Range:
15-30mph ENE Trade

Wednesday
Range:
10-25mph ENE Trade

Thursday
Range:
10-25mph ENE to E

Friday
Range:
10-25mph ENE Trade

North

Monday
07/07

Primary

Holding 8s NE
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
windy

Tuesday
07/08

Primary

Holding 8s NE
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
windy

Wednesday
07/09

Primary

Dropping 8s NE
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
divin , paddlin, fishin, sailin

Thursday
07/10

Primary

Holding 8s NE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
divin , paddlin, fishin, sailin

Friday
07/11

Primary

Rising 12s NNW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2

Secondary

Holding 8s NE
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
divin , paddlin, fishin, sailin

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West

Monday
07/07

Primary

Up & holding 16s SSW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3

Secondary

Holding 8s NE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Fair-Good side-offshore
Tuesday
07/08

Primary

Rising 18s SSW
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2

Secondary

Holding 8s NE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Fair side-offshores
Wednesday
07/09

Primary

Up & holding 16s SSW
Haw: 1-2
Face: 1-3

Secondary

Dropping 8s NE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Fair-Good side-offshore
Thursday
07/10

Primary

Holding 14s S
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2

Secondary

Holding 8s NE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Fair-Good side-offshore
Friday
07/11

Primary

Dropping 13s S
Haw: 0-1.5
Face: 0-2

Secondary

Rising 12s NNW
Haw: 0-1
Face: 0-1.5
Fair-Good side-offshore
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South

Monday
07/07

Primary

Up & holding 16s SSW
Haw: 1-2 occ +
Face: 1-3 occ +

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Fair-Good side-offshore

Tuesday
07/08

Primary

Rising 18s SSW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3

Secondary

Dropping 15s SSW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Fair side-offshores

Wednesday
07/09

Primary

Up & holding 16s SSW
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Fair-Good side-offshore

Thursday
07/10

Primary

Holding 14s S
Haw: 1-2 occ 3
Face: 2-4 occ 5

Secondary

Rising 15s SW
Haw: 1-1.5
Face: 1-2
Fair-Good side-offshore

Friday
07/11

Primary

Dropping 13s S
Haw: 1-2 occ +
Face: 1-3 occ +

Secondary

Up & holding 15s SW
Haw: 1 occ 2
Face: 1-2 occ 3
Fair-Good side-offshore

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east

Monday
07/07

Primary

Up & Rising 8s ENE
Haw: 2-3
Face: 3-5

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Lumpy-Bumpy
3'+ later
Tuesday
07/08

Primary

Up & holding 8s ENE
Haw: 2-3+
Face: 3-5+

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Lumpy-Bumpy

Wednesday
07/09

Primary

Dropping 8s ENE
Haw: 2-3
Face: 3-5

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Chunky

Thursday
07/10

Primary

Holding 8s ENE
Haw: 1-3
Face: 2-5

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Typical

Friday
07/11

Primary

Dropping 8s ENE
Haw: 1-3
Face: 2-5

Secondary

None  NONE
Haw: 0
Face: 0
Typical

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Current Swells:

Monday 07/07
Primary: Up & Rising 8s ENE surf @2-3 
Secondary: Up & holding 16s SSW surf @1-2 occ + 
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Marine Warnings:

Monday   07/07
Small craft advisory for all Hawaiian waters. Wind advisory for portions of Molokai-Big Island.
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Sailing Report:

Monday   07/07
Good for the more experienced, due to strong ENE trades at 20-30mph.
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Diving Report:

Monday   07/07
North Shore: Good (even better: deeper dives) due to tiny surf under light to fresh to strong side-offshore trades and partly cloudy skies. South: Fair overall (deep dives only; select protected areas still good) due to small surf and fresh to strong ENE trades. West: Good due to very small surf and fresh+ trades and nice weather. East: Poor for most zones with solid surf and moderate to strong trades...protected prime zones best.

Oahu

Maui

Kauai

Big Island

Weather

Surf Advisory and Warning Criteria
Location/shoreline Advisory Warning
North-Facing Shores- 15 Feet faces (8' Local) 25 Feet faces (15' local)
West-Facing Shores - 12 Feet (7' local) 20 Feet (12' local)
West-Facing- Big Is.- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 12 Feet (7' local)
South-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)
East-Facing Shores- 8 Feet (4'+ local) 15 Feet (8' local)

Big Picture

INACTIVE.
Get the latest on the tropics at www.hurricanes.gov
The Central Pacific Hurricane Center outlook for the 2017 Central Pacific Hurricane Season calls for 5 to 8 tropical cyclones to either develop or cross into the Central Pacific with a 40% chance for an above-normal season, a 40% chance for a normal season, and a 20% chance for a below-normal season. An average season has 4 to 5 tropical cyclones, which include tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes.
A tropical depression forms when a low-pressure area is accompanied by thunderstorms that produce a circular wind flow with maximum sustained winds below 39 mph. An upgrade to a tropical storm occurs when cyclonic circulation becomes more organized and maximum sustained winds gust between 39 mph and 73 mph. A tropical storm is then upgraded into Category 1 hurricane status as maximum sustained winds increase to between 74 mph and 95 mph. (The highest classification in the scale, Category 5, is reserved for storms with winds exceeding 156 mph).
Tropical cyclones go by many names around the world, and the terminology can get confusing. Once a tropical cyclone strengthens to the point where it has gale-force winds—39 mph or greater—it becomes a tropical storm. A storm that reaches tropical storm strength usually gets its own name to help us quickly identify it in forecasts and warnings. Once a tropical storm begins producing sustained winds of around 75 mph, we call the storm a typhoon in the western Pacific near Asia and a hurricane in the oceans on either side of North America. A “typhoon” and a “hurricane” are the same kind of storm, they just go by different names…it’s only a matter of geography.
NWS criteria for High Surf Advisories & Warnings.
In coordination with civil defense agencies & water safety organizations in Hawai`i, the NWS uses the criteria below for the issuance of High Surf Advisories & Warnings in coordination with civil defense agencies & water safety organizations in Hawai`i.
All surf height observations & forecasts are for the full face surf height, from the trough to the crest of the wave.
Advisory and Warning Criteria Location
Warning North-Facing Shores 15 Feet 25 Feet
West-Facing Shores - Remaining Islands 12 Feet 20 Feet
West-Facing Shores - Big Island 8 Feet 12 Feet
South-Facing Shores 8 Feet 15 Feet
East-Facing Shores 8 Feet 15 Feet
'Travel Time' Buoy 51101 to Waimea Buoy. Distance: 269 nautical miles (~310 miles). Angle: 307 deg
Wave Wave Wave Depth Wave Direction (deg)----------
Period Length Speed Shallow 295, 305, 315, 325, 335, 345, 355
(s) (ft) (nm/h) (ft) Travel Time (hours)----------
10sec. 512. 15. 256. 17.3, 17.7, 17.6, 16.9, 15.7, 14.0, 11.9
12sec. 737. 18. 369. 14.5, 14.8, 14.6, 14.0, 13.0, 11.6, 9.9
14sec. 1003. 21. 502. 12.4, 12.7, 12.5, 12.0, 11.2, 10.0, 8.5
16sec. 1310. 24. 655. 10.8, ,1 1.1, 11.0, 10.5, 9.8, 8.7, 7.4
18sec. 1658. 27. 829. 9.6, 9.8, 9.8, 9.4, 8.7, 7.8, 6.6
20sec. 2047. 30. 1024. 8.7 8.9 8.8 8.4 7.8 7.0 5.9
22sec. 2477. 33. 1239. 7.9 8.1 8.0 7.7 7.1 6.3 5.4
24sec. 2948. 36. 1474. 7.2 7.4 7.3 7.0 6.5 5.8 4.9

Tropical Storms - wind 39-73 mph (34-63 kt)
Category 1 - winds 74-95 mph (64-82 kt)
Category 2 -winds 96-110 mph (83-95 kt)
Category 3 -winds 111-130 mph (96-113 kt)
Category 4 - winds 131-155 mph (114-135 kt)
Category 5 -winds 156 mph and up (135+ kt)
Please visit the Central Pacific Hurricane Center website at www.weather.gov/cphc for the most recent bulletins.
ENSO is a single climate phenomenon, it has three states or phases. The two opposite phases, “El Niño” and “La Niña,” require certain changes in both the ocean and the atmosphere because ENSO is a coupled climate phenomenon. “Neutral” is in the middle of the continuum. The MJO (Madden-Julian Oscillation) is an eastward moving disturbance of clouds, rainfall, winds, and pressure that traverses the planet in the tropics and returns to its initial starting point in 30 to 60 days, on average, unlike ENSO which is stationary. In a nutshell, more active means more surf.
Kelvin wave (A Kelvin wave is a wave in the ocean or atmosphere that balances the Earth's Coriolis force against a topographic boundary such as a coastline, or a waveguide such as the equator. A feature of a Kelvin wave is that it is non-dispersive, i.e., the phase speed of the wave crests is equal to the group speed of the wave energy for all frequencies. This means that it retains its shape as it moves in the alongshore direction over time.)

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